The New Zealand greenback has prolonged its rally because it closes in on the symbolic 70 degree. Within the European session, NZD/USD is buying and selling at 0.6975, up 0.59% on the day.
NZ enterprise confidence stays ice chilly
Enterprise confidence for March posted a studying deep in damaging territory. The ANZ Enterprise Confidence survey got here in at -41.9, which was truly an enchancment from the February studying of -51.8 factors. Nonetheless, the survey has recorded just one acquire previously 12 releases, which factors to ongoing pessimism concerning the financial outlook.
The studying comes on the heels of the Westpac Shopper Sentiment launch for Q1, which fell from 99.1 to 92.1, its lowest degree since 2008. Customers reported being most involved about hovering inflation and the surge in Omicron instances in New Zealand.
The ANZ survey discovered that inflationary pressures are accelerating all through the economic system, and inflation expectations have been additionally on the rise. Companies anticipated inflation of 5.51%, a brand new file excessive, in comparison with the February studying of 5.29%. These numbers are a lot increased than the RBNZ’s goal band of 1%-3%. Based on the ANZ, inflation pressures are “merely off the charts”, with the surge in commodities because of the Ukraine conflict driving up inflation.
Within the US, the Federal Reserve has lastly launched into its rate-tightening cycle, with a 1/4 level rise earlier this month. Inflation hit a staggering 7.9% in February, which has prompted extra hypothesis that the Fed would possibly resort to salvos of 1/2 level cuts to be able to deliver inflation again down. The Fed has historically hiked or trimmed charges in 0.25% increments, however with the Fed taking part in catchup with inflation, it might should resort to bigger hikes to place a dent in rising costs. Fed Chair Powell signalled to the markets final week that the Fed would do no matter was wanted to wrestle down inflation, together with implementing 0.50% hikes.
- NZD/USD continues to interrupt above resistance strains. There may be resistance at 0.7061 and 0.7133
- There may be assist at 0.6885 and 0.6813