HomeForex UpdatesGreenback drops as inflation readout places Fed coverage course in view By...

Greenback drops as inflation readout places Fed coverage course in view By Reuters


FILE PHOTO: U.S. greenback banknotes are displayed on this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration


By Hannah Lang

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The greenback slid on Tuesday after U.S. inflation knowledge confirmed shopper costs rose by 8.5% in March in comparison with a yr in the past, boosted by hovering gasoline, however tempered by inexpensive used vehicles and vans.

Whereas the preliminary readout got here in barely hotter than analysts anticipated, with the U.S. shopper value index (CPI) posting the most important month-to-month rise in shopper costs in 40 years, the info confirmed some indicators that inflation might have peaked. Core CPI fell wanting estimates, touchdown at 6.5%.

“There’s a lot of positives which can be suggesting that a few of these excessive value surges might begin to be abating,” mentioned Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

That might recommend that the Federal Reserve might not have to be as aggressive in tightening financial coverage within the second half of this yr, he mentioned.

“Whereas this does not change something that the Fed will do over the subsequent couple of conferences, it does assist the concept that perhaps they will not should be as aggressive with tightening coverage afterward within the yr, and that is why we noticed the greenback drop considerably following the preliminary response,” mentioned Moya.

The fell 0.146%, with the euro down 0.02% to $1.0881.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields dropped barely to 2.7099%, after reaching 2.793% on Monday, the very best since January 2019.

The euro additionally declined Tuesday as markets shifted their consideration to a European Central Financial institution coverage assembly due later this week, the place cash markets are pricing in about 70 foundation factors of rate of interest tightening by December.

Any rebounds within the euro will doubtless be restricted by the continued Russian battle in opposition to Ukraine, mentioned Moya. Along with pushing up gasoline costs, the Russia-Ukraine battle, now in its second month, has led to a worldwide surge in meals costs as Russia and Ukraine are also main exporters of commodities equivalent to wheat and sunflower oil.

“There’s simply this total perception that till you could have a decision with the battle in Ukraine, their financial outlook is actually going to be an enormous query mark, and that is not essentially going to be good for flows for the euro,” he mentioned.

Whereas destructive, the euro recovered a few of its post-French election positive factors on Tuesday. It had rallied to $1.09550 on Monday following the information that President Emmanuel Macron beat far-right challenger Marine Le Pen within the first spherical of presidential voting.


Forex bid costs at 10:18AM (1418 GMT)

Description RIC Final U.S. Shut Pct Change YTD Pct Excessive Bid Low Bid

Earlier Change


Greenback index 99.8920 100.0400 -0.13% 4.421% +100.2300 +99.7340

Euro/Greenback $1.0881 $1.0884 -0.01% -4.28% +$1.0905 +$1.0851

Greenback/Yen 125.2000 125.3800 -0.13% +8.77% +125.7500 +124.7600

Euro/Yen 136.24 136.43 -0.14% +4.54% +136.6400 +135.9400

Greenback/Swiss 0.9294 0.9312 -0.18% +1.90% +0.9344 +0.9288

Sterling/Greenback $1.3043 $1.3029 +0.12% -3.55% +$1.3054 +$1.2994

Greenback/Canadian 1.2605 1.2634 -0.21% -0.29% +1.2661 +1.2583

Aussie/Greenback $0.7484 $0.7420 +0.87% +2.96% +$0.7484 +$0.7400

Euro/Swiss 1.0111 1.0134 -0.23% -2.49% +1.0155 +1.0107

Euro/Sterling 0.8340 0.8352 -0.14% -0.71% +0.8360 +0.8334

NZ $0.6875 $0.6825 +0.70% +0.42% +$0.6879 +$0.6808


Greenback/Norway 8.7375 8.8095 -0.79% -0.79% +8.8340 +8.7395

Euro/Norway 9.5103 9.5958 -0.89% -5.02% +9.6023 +9.5073

Greenback/Sweden 9.4548 9.4996 -0.47% +4.84% +9.5389 +9.4538

Euro/Sweden 10.2891 10.3375 -0.47% +0.54% +10.3562 +10.2890



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