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S&P 500 & FTSE 100 Forecast

S&P 500, FTSE 100 Evaluation and Information

S&P 500 | Fairness Sentiment Stays Fragile

A brief squeeze to finish the week sees the S&P 500 keep away from assembly the technical definition of a bear market, which is a peak-to-trough 20% decline. That being stated, with inflation prone to stay elevated for longer as emphasised by this week’s CPI print, draw back dangers will stay for the S&P 500.

Not a Bear Market “Technically” Talking

Among the many key questions going ahead is chance of a 75bps Fed charge hike, and whereas the Fed have barely backed away from this, Chair Powell did state that they’d do extra if the info steered a necessity for such motion, which this week’s CPI print would help. On the identical time, markets are getting extra accustomed to the view that the Fed might be mountain climbing right into a downturn as progress engines in China and Europe start to stall. In flip, till we see indicators that China are turning again from its zero-covid coverage and a possible truce between Russia and Ukraine, the outlook will proceed to look gloomy. On the technical entrance, resistance sits at 4100, whereas help resides at 3850.

S&P 500 Chart: Every day Time Body

Stock Market Week Ahead: S&P 500 & FTSE 100 Forecast

Supply: Refinitiv

FTSE 100 |Key UK Knowledge Forward

One other risky week for the FTSE 100 the place inflationary pressures and slowing financial exercise stays the dominating theme. Though, regardless of this, a modest restoration as we shut out the week sees the FTSE 100 pare the vast majority of its weekly drop. The query is, whether or not the squeeze increased extends previous the brief time period provided that a lot of the dangers which have plagued the market have but to ease up.

As we glance forward, subsequent week will see a raft of tier 1 UK knowledge factors for market contributors to digest. Firstly, the inflation print for April, the place the headline charge is predicted to hit 9% because it takes into consideration the Ofgem cap enhance, additional highlighting the price of dwelling squeeze that UK shoppers will face. Nevertheless, maybe what will probably be extra essential is the roles knowledge provided that BoE hawks have referenced the power in pay progress as a rationale for aggressive charge hikes.

Subsequently, any indicators of slowing within the labour market would see one other dovish repricing within the charges market, which stays aggressive as markets proceed to cost the financial institution charge at 2% by yr finish. Resistance located at 7450-60 (circa 20DMA), help at 7200 (weekly lows).

DailyFX Financial Calendar

Stock Market Week Ahead: S&P 500 & FTSE 100 Forecast

Supply: DailyFX

FTSE 100 Chart: Every day Time

Stock Market Week Ahead: S&P 500 & FTSE 100 Forecast

Supply: Refinitiv

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